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Steiner Tax Increment Project EVENSEN DODGE, INC. FINANCIAL CONSULTANTS - August 31, 1984 Mr. William Craig City Manager City Hall 1010 First Avenue South Hopkins, Minnesota 55343 Dear Mr. Craig: I am pleased to forward this Preliminary Feasibility Analysis of the proposed Steiner Tax Increment Project. ~ Background The City has been approached by Mr. Paul Steiner to participate in a series of redevelopment projects. Our understanding of the current status of these proposals is as follows: 1. The City would purchase a portion of the Hurley proper- ty for $65,000, undertake soil and other improvements for $522,000, and then resell the property in July 1985 to Steiner for $300,000. Steiner will then construct a 75,000 SF office/warehouse building, with an Estimated Market Value (EMV) of $2,250,000, completing con- struction in July 1986. 2. The City would purchase several parcels from Feltl for $250,000, undertake various improvements (including the demolition of an old house) for $75,000, and resell the properties to Steiner in 1986 for $125,000. Steiner will then construct a 40,000 SF office/warehouse building, with an EMV of $1,200,000, completing con- struction in July, 1987. -it 3. Steiner will also purchase the adjacent landfill from the City for $288,100 (on a 6-year CD) in 1985, and build a total of eight warehouse/office buildings, two a year, from 1985 through 1988, for a total size of 57,600 SF and a total EMV of $1,382,400. 3608 IDS Tower, Minneapolis Minnesota 55402 612/338-3535 800/328-8200 800/328-8100 Minnesota cks3.38/1 4. In addition, the City would invest another $300,000 for street improvements (including engineering costs) and the acquisition of right-of-way. Analysis and Assumptions Figure l, attached, details a quarterly cash flow feasibility study of the proposed project. Figure 2 is a debt schedule, showing the issuance of $1,260,000 in G.O. Tax Increment Bonds this October or November. The bond issue has been sized as follows: $ 65,000 522,000 250,000 75,000 245,000 25,000 30,000 1,212,000 48,000 $1,260,000 Purchase Hurley site Improvements to Hurley site Purchase Feltl site Improvements to Feltl site Street improvements Engineering costs Purchase right-of-way Total estimated costs Bond discount and issuance costs Bond Issue Size The debt has been structured w~ thout any capitalized interest, relying on revenues from land sales to meet debt service require- ments in the earlier years of the project. The debt has also been structured as "end-loaded", deferring most principal repay- ment until the latter years of the project, to minimize the debt service strain on the project until tax increments build up. In addition to the general project description in the "Back- ground" section of this letter, the other assumptions employed here include: 1. A Redevelopment Project and an Tax Increment District are both established this year, in time for the Origi- nal Assessed Value (OAV) to be certified as of the 1983/84 assessments; it is also assumed that the entire Tax Increment District would qualify under Minnesota Statutes 273 as a "Redevelopment" type of tax increment district. A further analysis can be conducted to determine the feasibility of the project if structured as an "Economic Development" type of District. 2. The City sells $1,260,000 of G.O. Tax Increment Bonds in October or November of 1984, structured approximate- ly as depicted in Figure 2. cks3.38/2 3. The City will choose to retain 100% of the tax incre- ments generated, and will also choose not to require a fiscal disparities contribution to be made by the commercial/industrial properties in the District. These two elections, taken together, will ensure that the City can use the full amount of increment for debt service. At some later point in the project, as the fund balance grows to a comfortable level (i.e., equalling one year's debt service), the City may then elect to retain something less than 100% of the incre- ments. 4. The tax increment receipts shown in Column C of Figure are based on current assessments ratios, the EMV's in Renne's memo, an annual mill rate of approximately 100, a 90% collection rate, and the construction schedule described earlier. It is also assumed here that the properties do not inflate in value after initial assessment, and that the mill rate is constant, over the life of the project. 5. It is assumed that the City will resell the respective parcels, including the landfill, at the schedule described above. The landfill will be sold on a 6-year CD, with $38,100 down, at 9%, with a 25-year amortiza- tion schedule, and with a balloon in the sixth year. . 6. Interest earnings on the proj ect' s fund balance is assumed to be 8% annual, compounded quarterly. This is a very conservative estimate under current market conditions, but protects the City against sudden drops in interest rates. 7. The construction schedule shown in Column G is an arbitrary one, assuming drawdown of funds between the last quarter of 1984 and the last quarter of 1985. I don't think this is a particularly crucial assumption, but it is one that should be more narrowly defined. 8. The debt service in Column H is taken from the proposed debt structure in Figure 2. e cks3.38/3 Conclusion Our conclusion, based on this preliminary analysis and on the assumptions detailed above, is that the project is feasible, in the sense that the projected tax increments will be sufficient, combined with revenues from land sales, to pay the debt service on G.O. Tax Increment Bonds. I want to emphasize again that this analysis is only preliminary, and based on a considerable number of conjectural assumptions. I will be delighted to refine this analysis, as planning proceeds and more information becomes available. I hope this preliminary analysis provides sufficient information to proceed with additional planning and to arrive at some de- cisions. Please feel free to raise questions or make suggestions concerning this analysis. Best regards, Ii\ENS~ODGE' INC. ~ Key:1;- Senior Financial Analyst cc: Wayne S. Burggraaff cks3.38/4 CIJv OF .HOP~INS. MINNESOTA . , Prellllnar'! Lash Flow Feaslhlllty Analvsls - SteIner Proposal tAl (Bl (C) lDl lEI (F) (61 (HI (!) (J) tKl ---------------------------Intlow-------------------------- --------------Outflow---------------- Net Tax Land Interest Const. QUARTERLY Year 1 Bond Increeent Sale Earnings Costs Debt CUI1ULAllVE Yearl Iluarter Proceeds ReceIpts Revenues 81. TOTAL (est.) ServIce TOTAL BALANCE Quarter -------- --------- ------- -------- ----- ----- ++++++++++ 1984/4 S1.212, uOO $1,212.000 $270,000 5270.000 $942.000 1984/4 198511 518.840 S18,840 50 59bO,840 1985/1 12 $19.217 $19.217 $300,000 5300.000 5680.057 /2 13 5300,000 $13.601 $313,601 $300.00(1 589.34U $38lf,340 5b04,318 13 14 $38,000 $12,086 550.086 5342,000 $342,000 5312.404 14 198b/l $6.248 $6.248 $59,560 $59,560 5259.092 198b/l 12 55.182 $5.182 $0 5264,274 12 /3 5125.000 55.285 $130,285 559.560 559.5bO $335.000 13 14 525,451 56.700 532.151 $0 $3b7.151 14 1987/1 57,343 $7,343 $64.560 5b4,5bO $309.9'34 198711 12 $32.98B $6.199 $39,187 50 5349.120 12 13 S6.982 $b.982 $59.379 $59,379 5296,724 13 14 532.988 525,451 $5.934 564.373 SO $361,U97 14 1988/1 57.222 $7,222 $b4,379 $b4.379 5303.940 198811 12 $72. 772 $6,079 $78,851 $0 $382.791 /2 13 57,b56 S7,65b 559.191 559.191 5331.256 13 14 $72.772 525.451 $6.b25 5104.848 50 5436.104 14 1989/1 $8,722 $8,722 $69.191 ib9,191 $375.635 1989/1 12 $90,b93 57,513 598.206 $0 $473,841 12 n $9.477 S9,477 $58,804 $58,804 $424.514 /3 /4 $90.693 525.451 58,490 5124.634 $0 5549,148 14 1990/1 $10,983 $lO,983 $68,804 56B,8M 5491,327 1990/1 12 $97,409 $9,827 $107,236 $0 5598,562 /2 13 $11.971 $11.971 $58,404 558,404 5552.130 13 14 597,409 525,451 511,043 $133,903 50 Sb86.032 14 1991/1 $13,721 $13,721 $83,404 $83.404 5b16.349 1991/1 12 $97,409 $12,327 $109,736 $0 5726,085 12 /3 $14,522 $14,522 557,373 $57,373 $683,233 13 14 597,409 5253,245 S13,bb5 5364,319 SO $1,047,552 /4 1992/1 $20.951 520,951 $82,373 582,373 $986.130 199211 12 597,4u9 519,723 $117,132 50 $1,103,262 12 13 522,Ob5 $22,Ob5 $56.310 55b.310 $1 ,069, 017 /3 14 597,409 $21,380 5118.789 50 $1,187.80b 14 1993/1 $23,75b $23,75b stOb.310 st06.310 $1.105,252 1993/1 12 597,409 $22,105 5119,514 50 $1,224,767 12 13 524,495 524,495 554,123 $54,123 51,195,139 /3 /4 $97,4\.19 $23.903 $121,312 $0 $I, 31b. 451 14 1994/1 $26,329 $2b.329 $129.123 st29.123 S1,213,b57 1994/1 12 597.409 $24.273 $121,682 $0 $1,335.339 12 13 $26.707 52b,707 $50,748 550.748 $1.311.298 /3 /4 597.409 $2b.226 $123.635 so 51. 434.933 /4 199511 $28.699 $28,699 $150.478 $150.478 SI,313.153 1995/1 12 $97.409 S26,263 5123.b72 SO $1 ,43b. 815 12 13 528,737 $28.737 $411.148 S46.148 $1,419,414 13 14 S97,409 528.388 $125.797 50 51.545,211 14 Prepared by Evensen Dodge. Inc. 28-Aug-84 CITY OF HpPKINS. MINNESOTA . '. - 1996/1 $30,904 530,904 $196.148 $196.148 $1.379,967 1996/1 12 $97:409 $27,59'1 $125.008 $0 51.504.976 12 13 $30.100 530,100 539.098 $39,098 $1,495.977 13 /4 $97.409 $29,920 $127,329 50 $1, b23. 30b /4 1997/1 $32,466 $32,466 $189,098 $189.098 $1. 466. 674 1997/1 12 $97,409 529,333 U2b,742 $0 $1,593.416 /2 /3 $31.868 $31.868 $31,973 $31,973 $1,593,312 13 14 $97,409 531.866 $129,275 50 $1,722,587 14 1998/1 $34.452 $34.452 $181,973 $181.973 $1.575.0116 1998/1 12 $97,409 $31. 501 5128.910 $0 51,703.97D /2 /3 $34.080 534,080 $24,773 524.773 $1,713.282 13 /4 597,409 534.266 $131.b75 $0 51,844.957 14 1999/1 $36,899 $36,899 $174.773 $174.773 $I,707.0B3 1999/1 12 597.409 $34,142 $131,551 $0 $1.838,634 12 13 $36,773 53b.773 $17.497 517,497 $1,857,909 13 14 597.409 $37,158 $134.5b7 $0 $1,992,477 14 2000/1 $39.850 $39,850 51b7.498 $167,498 $1.864,828 2000/1 12 597,409 $37,297 $134,70b 50 $1,999,534 12 13 $39.991 $39.991 $10.147 $10,147 52.029.377 13 14 597.409 $40,538 $137,997 $0 $2,lb7.374 /4 2uOl/1 543,347 $43.347 $215,147 $215,147 $1,995,574 200111 Total: st. 212. 000 $2.535,904 $843,500 $1,391.857 $5,983,2bl $I ,212. 000 $2,775.687 $3,987,687 Prepared by Evensen Dodge. Inc. 28-Aug-B4 .. " CITY OF HOP~INS, MINNESOTA $1,260.000 6.0. TAl INCREMENT BONDS, SERIES 1984 15-YEAR PRELIMINARY DEBT SCHEDULE - 8/28/84 --------------------- --------------------- DEBT SERVICE SCHEDULE --------------------- --------------------- e BONDS BONDS DATE PRINCIPAL COUPON INTEREST PERIOD TOTAL FISCAL TOTAL OUTSTANDIN6 PAID TO DATE 81 1185 89.340.00 89.340.00 1,200,000.00 21 1/86 59,560.00 59.560.00 148,900.00 1,2bO.000.OO 8/ 1/86 59.560.00 59,560.00 1.260,000.00 21 1187 5.000.00 7.250000 59.5bO.00 b4.560.00 124,120.00 1,255,000.00 5,000.00 8/ 1/87 59.378.75 59.378.75 1.255,000.00 5,000.00 2/ 1/88 5.000.00 7.500000 59,378.75 b4,378.75 123,757.50 1,250,000.00 10.000.00 81 1/88 59.191.25 59,191.25 1.250,000.00 10,000.00 21 1189 10,000.00 7.750000 59,191.25 b9,191.25 128,382.50 1.240.000.00 20,000.00 8/ 1/89 58,803.75 58,803.75 1.240,000.00 20,000.00 21 1/90 10.000.00 8.000000 58,803.75 68.803.75 127,607.50 1.230,000.00 30,000.00 81 1/90 58.403.75 58,403.75 1,230,000.00 30.000.uO 21 1191 25,000.00 8.250000 58.403.75 83,403.75 141,807.50 1.205.000.00 55,000.00 81 1/91 57.372.50 57.372.50 1.205,000.00 55,000.00 21 1/92 25,000.00 8.500000 57.372.50 82,372.50 139,745.00 1,180,000.00 80.00U.oO 8/ 1/92 5b.310.00 56.310.00 1,18U.uOO.oO 80.000.00 e 21 1/93 50.000.00 8.750000 56,310.00 106,310.00 Ib2.620.00 1. 130.00u.00 130,000.00 81 1/93 54.122.50 54,122.50 1,130,000.00 130.000.00 21 1194 75,000.00 9.00uOOO 54,122.50 129.122.50 183.245.0U 1,055,000.00 205.000.00 8/ .1/94 50,747.50 50,747.50 1.055.uOO.00 205.00u.00 21 1/95 100.000.00 9.200000 50,74i.50 150,747.50 201,495.00 955,000.00 305,000.00 81 1/95 46,147.50 4b,147.50 955.uOO.00 305,000.00 21 1196 150,000.00 9.400000 46,147.50 19b.147.50 242,295.00 805.000.00 455,000.00 8/ 1196 39,097.50 39.097.50 805,000.00 455,000.00 21 1/97 150.000.00 9.500000 39,097.50 189,097.50 228,195.00 b55,000.00 605,000.00 81 1/97 31,972.50 31.972.50 655,000.00 605,000.00 21 1/98 150.000.00 9.600000 31,972.50 181,972.50 213.945.00 505,000.00 755,000.00 81 1/98 24,772.50 24,772.50 505,000.00 755,000.00 21 1/99 150.000.00 9.700000 24,772.50 174,772.50 199,545.00 355,000.00 905,000.00 81 1/99 17,497.50 17,497.50 355.000.00 905,000.00 21 11 0 150.000.00 9.800000 17.497.50 Ib7,4If7.50 184,995.00 205,000.00 1,055.000.00 81 11 0 10.147.50 10,147.50 205,000.00 1,055,000.00 21 1/ 1 205,000.00 9.900uOO 10,147.50 215.147.50 225,295.00 1.260,000.00 -------------- -------------- -------------- l,2bO.000.OO 1. 515. 950.00 2,775,950.00 ACCRUED 1.260,000.00 1,515.950.00 2.775.950.00 -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- DATED 111 1/84 WITH DELIVERY OF 111 1184 BOND YEARS 15.860.000 AVERAGE COUPON 9.558 AVERAGE LIFE 12.587 N I C Z 9.7172131 Z WITH A BID OF 98.00u